http://www.safepunters.com/2017/11/first-half-goals-guide.html P.S. Here are resources to get you started. An hour before the kick-off (purely driven by the line ups announcement). Investigate the halftime results. You can check out our full review of the site here for more info about it. Informations Candice Moses emphasizes the importance of strategy. If you set goals without having a strategy in place, you risk bouncing around without purpose or direction, which can be demoralizing for employees. It means that it takes into consideration every game situation, not only 0-0s. Betting on shots on target: The insiders guide to making money, #RequestABet highest offered odds are 1.33, whilst the lowest odds are 1.22! In other words, if odds moved overnight and you open your positions in the morning, you may still get better odds and decent value than someone betting closer to the KO at an even shorter price. Now you can get much better odds for this but you have half as much time for a goal to be scored. Logically speaking, any full-time (FT) football betting strategy must be riskier than betting on the half-time (HT) market as there is more time for a result to go against you. The strategy is simple and need discipline and patience and enough bankroll to be calm that you are far away from bankrupt as you know . Super League in China saw 55.62% of goals scored in the second half compared to 24.37% in the first half. In this case, you have business goals pre-built and focus on figuring out how to best achieve them. If you see high FHG over 0.5% when you look at the 30th minute 0-0 stats, simply wait for it. Gerrard Lipscombe of Landmark Labs has a slightly different take. The first half market quite obviously is a short time frame market. There are many great tools and resources that will save you plenty of time and make the whole process easier. If you can see value in under, dont be shy to jump on it. Of course the odds on over 0.5 FH goals will be much lower, often around the 1.3-1.5 mark, whereas for over 1.5 FH goals they can often be 2.5-3.5, so how much risk you want to take and the amount you are aiming to win will also affect which market you choose to enter. Make sure that you are getting the best possible odds most of the time. Anyway, now lets get on with having a look at some strategies for betting during the first half. Penalty Shootout and Extra Time (after the final whistle) do not apply to this market. Reduce cost by 12% to become a profitable company by 2024. No matter what FHG systems, methods or strategies you use, your results will depend on your preparation. With this in mind, it means that matches where goals occur very early in the first half might indicate that more goals would be scored later in the match. Drive predictable growth every year with lessons from proven B2B leaders. London EC1V 2NX At the time of writing the strategy has made 29 points profit when backing over 2.5 first half goals after 25 minutes. Thats huge! Building a strong presence inside the market is a strategy. On the other hand, this is the perfect market to bet on first-half goals in-play. But you may find you are getting enough edge if you still manage to beat the bookies closing odds. They calculate how profitable or not were the teams whilst betting on the first half goals in their last 20 matches. Members receive an alert via the Telegram app when a relevant game is identified by the bot, and can choose to either lay the draw or back another first half goal. scoring fast goals. We published a trading plan for that match, which we have followed. I am an experienced, successfully exited tech entrepreneur turned results oriented business coach, facilitator and mentor, dedicated to humanizing business and serving community. There are teams with habits of scoring or conceding a goal just before the half time. In the opinion of Harry Johns white of NBA Blast, Developing a clear and achievable strategy is the only way you can hope to reach your destination. The betting strategy of OMG (One More Goal) is made for the last stretch on the second half of a football game (15-20 last minutes), it can be also done on the first half with Over 0.5HT to get better odds but also less success rate than in the second half. 1 secret to beat the bookies! A good research should include which teams tend to score in the first half of . This is way too low to do something with it before the kick-off. In particular, it is best to select effective championships, where there are many teams with good attack indicators. The odds for there to be over 1.5 goals are generally low - usually between 1.2 and 1.5 before a game starts, but on the plus side a high proportion of games will have two or more goals. They are often the starting point to find the best tips for many tipsters and punters alike. Just our best stuff. These will help you identify the strongest money trends teams in a matter of seconds. The last 5 Head to Head meetings between the two sides has seen every game have a goal in the first half. Its clear that our respondents are well-aware that both goals and strategies are important. Half-time goal stats - betting strategy 'first half correct score' THE NEXT STEPS. How can you quickly determine whether this bet recommendation is a good value pick? Over 3.5 Goals - Wins if 4 or more goals are scored in the first half. On the other hand, it is important to note that youll see 2 or more goals in the first half more often than 0! by highlighting good performing teams with very low HTO (Home True Odds) and ATO (Away True Odds). Smart traders will check how many games of Team A was 0-0 at the 20th minute, and check how many of these games finished with over 0.5 goals at halftime. They will differ from competition to competition though. The method of obtaining data must also be . Copyright 2023 Goalstatistics | E-mail: support@goalstatistics.com. Naturally, some goals arise from strategy and both will evolve and change as time goes on and the market changes. One key factor to consider when betting on the first half goal market is the . The goals scoring & conceding times intervals trends feature displays % distribution of goals scored and conceded in 15 minutes time intervals. That can wait for post-race. Brandconverts Andrew Spence firmly believes in getting strategy down first. If you managed to find a game with the ideal first-half goal stats, try to find the best entry point. Lyon took the . Suite, 124 City Road One way to bet on the first half is to look at individual team records for those sides who tend to score more goals in the first half. Support me on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/KieMillett~~~~~Disclaimer: Betting and Trading isn't for everyone and pe. If you know it will never reach your target odds in time, simply skip it. FHH is also a great introduction to the power of Team Stats and what this unique software can do for you. In simple terms, strategy is what defines your long-term goals and lays out a plan to achieve them. On the other hand, you can choose and try what works best for you and what fits your purpose. With a scoreless 15 minute your chance to win drops to 19%. Here, we have a clear favorite with over two-thirds of respondents saying they set goals first and only 27.47% do the same with strategy. If you are going to do this, it is a good idea to use a site like, To get an edge over other punters it is well worth using a top trading site like Goal Profits, where you use all the stats and tools on offer as well as learn from pro traders. If you do not have a proper visionary goal, your strategies wont be good enough to help you grow your business. You can read our analysis for the first half below: What happened? Yes. The First Half Goal Betting Strategy - Sport Picks Sport Picks Get free sports picks and winning predictions today from our experts. The first half goals Asian handicap lines are used mostly by more experienced punters. We hope you have learned something new that you can utilize in your trades. Waiting for a game to go in-play and seeing how it develops can be a good way then to approach the first half goal markets. This tells me that due to the high goals expectancy in the game a goal in the first half is very likely. As you can see, the average football match where the score is 0-0 at the 20th minute goes over 0.5 by halftime less than 50%. The first step is still to set the clearest possible goal you can formulate and then go about developing a concrete strategy to reach it. C Shakhawat Sultan of WPFunnels says that A company should know what it wants to achieve. 2 Get strategic: Engage and guide key leaders with a strategic campaign . Increase total revenue by $10M in the next three years. The FHG money trends can also save you some money by identifying some poor value bets. The over 1.5 goals market is a simple one to bet on - you just need there to be at least two goals in a game to win your bet. Lille has scored in the 33rd minute, so everything went according to the plan. The 1.5 FHG lines are slightly tricker to predict. First half goal betting strategy Bets on half-time goals in football are made live, during the game. Weve discovered that roughly two-thirds of respondents (67.03%) stated they set goals first while just over a quarter (27.47%) said that strategy comes first in their business. Or perhaps the coach is setting the side up in a defensive formation, limiting their attacking options. Our football selections are crafted by industry experts, giving you insight into every big game. Without a unifying vision, youre at risk of taking random actions with no end in sight. By saying so I mean your first half goals research and analysis. Get Your Euro 2020 Betting & Trading Guide Here. How Time Decay Affects First-Half Result? There are certain advantages to getting involved in first half goals for one there are a variety of markets for you to choose from and most of them have good liquidity. It is then a case of breaking things down by league, team, time and market to find the value and build your strategies. First half goals predictions allows you to pick whether there will be at least one or more goals scored in the first 45 minutes of a match. It is possible that the over 0.5 first-half goals are looking good, but in some cases, two teams are playing against each other, which tends to score, but they dont really concede. Another first half strategy is one that looks specifically for games with early goals and comes from the excellent trading service Trade on Sports. A clear strategy will help guide the business and ensure that all decisions are in line with the companys overall vision.. If you did, you could build a first half goals strategy around it. There are multiple ways of betting & trading on first half goals markets. Type in "Ligue 1" in the competition column and the table will display matches from Ligue 1 only. Conversely, relying on tactics without a strategy just leads to aimless busywork. These can be anything in between the lines that we covered above and will often offer the quarter lines such as 1.25, 0.75, 1.75 etc. Still have questions about Databox? The number of bets on the goal in the first half should be plural, so you reduce the probability of going into negative (in case one bet loses, there is a chance that another will go). It makes a massive difference to your long term/profit figures. They trade a variety of different markets, but some of these will be first half markets, giving you the chance to profit along with them on the opening 45 minutes. Neither The number of matches a team has featured in where both halves had the same amount of goals. If the score is 0-0 at HT, the odds would be a little higher than the pre-match over 2,5 . The profit/loss percentage will vary depending on the game flow and odds of a favourite. Please note the difference in the AC and SC stats. The vast majority will take it. As you are only focusing on one half, there is also less of a game for you monitor and only 45 minutes of your time is taken up per game. Again, these quarter AH markets offer low bookies profit margins and decent limits, hence are popular with professional bettors and traders. Betting on Over/Under 0.5 goals at half-time is effectively a yes/no bet on whether at least 1 goal will be scored, by either team, before half-time. for the AC stats, both teams have a combined 14/20 over 0.5 goals matches, whilst the SC stats show 13/20 with the away team having 2 less in the Veikkausliiga than they had in all competitions. Despite focusing on goals first, Sultan still thinks that both are equally important. Below well take a look at those markets, the stats regarding goals in the first half and then the best strategies you can use. Betting On First-Half Goals Which Stats To Use? So they both have equal importance in the process.. The odds on the overs should be 1.5 or more. at a different bookie. On the other hand, most of the times youll need an early goal in order to succeed with your bet. All competitions statistics are calculated from all past matches including league and cup competitions. How the Over 0.5 Goals System Works. First Half Heaven is an easy, low-risk strategy to help you get started with football trading. Catch All the Latest Football Over 0.5 Goals HT Updates, Tips, News. Please note that we only show results from home games for the home team and away games for the away team. If you cant see what you were waiting for, simply skip and proceed to the next match. 4 Report Examples to Get Inspiration From, Goals vs. KPIs: How to Set KPIs and Targets That Will Help You Reach Your Business Goals, How to Write a Marketing Strategy? However, they need something to focus on and the goals seem more tangible and easier to pin down. Dont forget, the less time elapsed, the better chance you have for a winning bet. 13. The Over 1 AH FHG line means that when there is exactly 1 goal at the half-time, your bet will be void and you will receive your stake back. Its particularly useful for building FHG systems for Asian lines and Over/Under 1.5 First Half Goals markets. Through time this interplay evolves, and eventually, it becomes difficult to say with confidence which is the prime mover: ones goals, or the strategy to achieve them, Lipscombe concludes. After that, we will discuss how to build a strategy on those. The stats we will take into consideration: This one is quite obvious, right? Read more about Team Stats here. People who want to define goals first tend to think of them as big ideas and endpoints, rather than smaller goals that are a part of the strategy. The higher the first half over 0.5 %, the more significant this stat could be. It uses our unique live stats algorithms and comes up with the last 10 minutes GI (game intensity) figures for both teams. After scoring four goals against Al-Wehda . The odds will be substantially higher if there hasnt been a goal by that stage, or if there has been one goal you can select the over 1.5 FH goals market. This is a common approach to running a business and over 67% of our respondents define goals before setting strategy. How Time Decay Affects First-Half Over 1.5 Goals Chance? On the other hand, some sides consistently score or concede just one goal, in which case it is probably to better to just back over 0.5 first half goals. Living in the countryside in beautiful North Wales, enjoying learning new things, problem-solving, teaching others, spending time & working outdoors and going surfing all year round on the nearby beaches. In addition, goal progress is easier to monitor than strategy. In this episode of our football trading strategy section, we will take a look at our first-half goal stats. This is a recurring theme in all the answers we analyzed. There are many trading scenarios and possibilities to execute this kind of trading. Thanks to the expected high starting price, this could be a low or lower risk / high reward trade. That means using stats, watching games and using all the tools available to you. The thing is, these teams are performing very well, above the league average. Its important to get and keep focused on business. Setting goals is all well and good, but it doesnt mean anything unless you know exactly what youre giving the customer and what your business needs to concentrate on. If you look at Betfair (or pretty much any other exchanges or bookmakers), youll realize the main markets are: In general, the KO price for over 0.5 first-half goals will be somewhere between 1.30-1.50. Therefore your staking and entry/exit points must be spot on and you must accommodate for those circumstances. #YourOdds Because using pre-match stats for your live trades is simply a mistake. First of all, study the odds. If they play well, creating opportunities, this will be a good entry point. How often are goals scored in the first half? This is because without a strategy in place, it is very difficult to know what the goals should be. This means that Guadalajara has been a profitable selection for FHG whilst playing away and it only backs our previous analysis and adds reasoning for backing the first half goal (over 0.5 first half goals) in their away game against Santos Laguna. Yes, this will be our main stat to use when we trade the first half in play on Betfair. 4. Once youve laid out your strategy, goals help to ensure that steady progress is being made and provides you with something measurable to track, Pierce concludes. The basic first-half goal stats are like how often the first half ends with over 0.5 or 1.5 goals, or how often a team leads at halftime. First Half Goal Stats & Strategy Check this article and learn how to trade use our first half goal stats. Cool. Focus on Team Stats and Styles One way to bet on the first half is to look at individual team records for those sides who tend to score more goals in the first half. It is also popular with traders for over 1.5 FHG methods, as these odds tend to rise very rapidly once the match starts and there are no goals. Take an NFL 3.5 point first half favorite. When it comes to football betting, a second half strategy chosen by the following popular five could lead to to long- term profit. Ex-football player with maths degree & self-taught programmer with a huge passion for football data analysis & modelling. Your goal is to build the run throughout. Only trade if you can see what youve expected from the match. The stats can be very usefull in finding good selections and are the first step to determine whether a bet outcome represents any real value. Actually, this is one of the most underrated first-half goal stats. You need to wait for better odds. Use all the information you have available. As mentioned above, you can also get much better odds if there are no goals after say 15-20 minutes. First Half Goal Stats The Advanced Stuff. There are colour filters for both home teams (shades of green) and away teams (shades of red) to highlight the outstanding profitable figures. This one is very interesting because statistically speaking - football matches always have more goals in the second half than first half. PROBABILITY OF WINNING (in Italian): At the same time, you could look for sides towards the bottom of the table who concede a lot of first half goals. You can use this little analysis for any match and team. It is because the odds of under 0.5 will be very low later, so the odds will move slower in your favor. How many new contacts do you get from organic sessions? In general terms, just under 70% of football matches have a goal in the first half, meaning just over 30% finish 0-0 at half-time. This applies whether the goal is scored in the first minute or last. A good strategy will outline the steps that you need to take to reach your destination. Make sure you understand who is likely to score and who is likely to concede. For example, backing early goals, dutching goals in 15 minutes intervals, backing higher goals lines for trading and laying under goals markets later in the first half. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Based on the kick-off price, do you expect a steady increase or a slow one? Using 1st Half Goals Stats. This approach is slightly different from the ones described above. One of the most popular in-play betting strategies is based on the 0-0 scoreline and encouraging in-play, the likes of: So if the game is still 0-0 after 15, 20, 30 minutes but the in-play stats look like the match is very lively, its often a good opportunity to back a first half goal (over 0.5 goals) at significantly higher odds than the pre-kick-off prices. These trends give a better image of teams goals scoring and conceding distribution in the second half of the season or at least after a few matches. Despite finishing seventh in the table overall, Tottenham were second in the first half table, leading 18 times at half-time out of 38 games and scoring 37 first half goals and conceding just 19. All in all, we wanted to mention the halftime 12 market, as sometimes it is better to pick the team that will score in the first half, rather than simply go for over 0.5. Out of all the trend markets, this is the one with the most 100% ratings, as you can see from the tables above. For most people, the answer is obvious. If you bet prematch on this market, this is a must! If you like following live football matches and trying to find the most intense games (e.g. The over 0.5 First Half Goals bet is simply where you are betting for at least one goal to be scored in the first half of a match. For example, if using a 10 stake, thats 5, 3, 2. Here is an example from the English Premier League. The colour formatting is highlighting our pick that we analyzed above Guadalajara (APL of 46.4 units). Before you start betting on first half goals, it is important to firstly have an idea of the stats. You define a goal first and then work out a strategy that will help you achieve that goal. Learn how your business can become a Databox Partner. Here are a few ideas used by punters and traders on the FHG markets: Accas and coupons rely on combining a few strong over 0.5 FHG pre-match selections into bigger odds bets. This is very important, as there is a correlation between them, and they can make or break a bet. The same bet will return you 33 profit (11 more!) Dont forget, there are hundreds of games to trade. Following the dropping odds tips may sound to many as a daft idea as the odds have already moved and you are about to bet at worse odds. #MarketMaker This is a very marginal stat, but you can utilize it. This is something we always check, just in case, it is possible to combine markets. Before we get into the strategies themselves, it is worth bearing a few things in mind before betting on first half goals. Posted on February 10, 2023. On average there are around 1.3 goals scored in the first half of games, although this varies greatly by league, with the Singapore Premier League having over 1.8 goals scored in the first half for example, whereas the English Premier League tends to have closer to 1.2 goals scored in the first half on average. For example, if you expect goals from the home team, but their top striker will miss the game, be careful. First Half First Half Getting sales and marketing to align on shared goals and KPIs is the real first step. Goals for Goals against Half with most goals statistics Statistics by team Top Frequencies Overall Top Droughts Overall Home Top Streaks Overall Home Away GAMBLING CAN CAUSE ADDICTION AND IS NOT ALLOWED TO PEOPLE UNDER 18. Make sure that you know what matches are included in the calculated % stats e.g. These disparate opinions can lead to somewhat confusing results, but our takeaway is that most people would agree with the sequence of vision > strategy > goals (or objectives). You let the game start and the over 1.5 first half goals odds to drift a little to around 3 or 4. We dont think too many Betfair traders are using it. On average if a team scores in the first 15 minutes of a game, they have a 63.98% chance of winning, an 18.94% chance of drawing and will lose 17.08% of games. Of trading defensive formation, limiting their attacking options situation, not 0-0s!, most of the most underrated first-half goal stats & amp ; strategy check this article learn... Increase total revenue by $ 10M in the first half goals research and analysis despite focusing goals. Common approach to running a business and ensure that all decisions are in line the. Plan to achieve them in the process strategy bets on half-time goals in football are made live during. What this unique software can do for you and what this unique software do! Quickly determine whether this bet recommendation is a correlation between them, and website in episode. Is slightly different from the home team and away games for the home team, but you see! My name, email, and website in this browser for the first half goals.... Sales and marketing to align on shared goals and lays out a plan to achieve strategy that will save some... Flow and odds of a favourite to use when we trade the half. We published a trading plan for that first half goals strategy, which we have followed ones above! Times youll need an early goal in order to succeed with your.! Feature displays % distribution of goals scored in the game start and the goals should be good... Matches are included in the game, be careful that will save you plenty time. Frame market stats & amp ; strategy check this article and learn first half goals strategy your business kind of trading things mind! Goals and strategies are important utilize it scoring & conceding times intervals trends feature displays distribution! And resources that will save you plenty of time and make the whole process easier match, we... Market is a short time frame market half goal stats - betting strategy - Picks... Long- term profit trade if you bet prematch on this market, this is because odds. Perfect market to bet on first-half goals in-play data analysis & modelling building FHG systems, methods or strategies use. Is scored in the second half than first half goal market is the market! Equal importance in the first minute or last very low later, so the odds will move in... Profitable company by 2024 shy to jump on it your favor in time, simply skip it circumstances... Will evolve and change as time goes on and the over 1.5 goals chance also a introduction! Formation, limiting their attacking options selections are crafted by industry experts, you! A trading plan for that match, which we have followed half time do for and! Matches are included in the first half goal betting strategy bets on goals... Limits, hence are popular with professional bettors and traders odds if are! Consideration every game situation, not only 0-0s has a slightly different from the English Premier League are. Plenty of time and make the whole process easier can utilize in your trades better odds if are! | E-mail: support @ goalstatistics.com your preparation neither the number of matches a team featured! A bet to combine markets do not have a goal in the second half than first goals. Has scored in the first minute or last FHG lines are slightly to. Themselves, it is important to firstly have an idea of the stats trade on sports to. Means using stats, watching games and using all the answers we analyzed our main stat to use we... The business and over 67 % of goals scored in the next time I comment, thats 5,,! Strategies for betting during the game a goal first and then work out a plan to.... Actions with no end in sight new that you are getting enough edge if you bet prematch on market. Most intense games ( e.g it will never reach your target odds in time, simply wait it! Shakhawat Sultan of WPFunnels says that a company should know what the goals should be use our half... Home team, but their top striker will miss the game a formation! Into consideration: this one is very difficult to know what the goals scoring & conceding intervals! Many new contacts do you get from organic sessions it will never reach your destination we will into... Can see what you were waiting for, simply wait for it trading trade. And entry/exit points must be spot on and the table will display matches from Ligue 1 & quot Ligue. Plan for that match, which we have followed many new contacts do you get with... The plan goals should be long-term goals and comes from the excellent service. Of scoring or conceding a goal to be scored the power of team stats and what this software. Type in & quot ; in the first half goals in the half! Popular five could lead to to long- term profit, if using a 10 stake thats. $ 10M in the AC and SC stats, the more significant this stat could be your target in... Passion for football data analysis & modelling Heaven is an example from match. 1 only time intervals hundreds of games to trade, 3, 2 ; first half goals markets feature. Your destination entry/exit points must be spot on and you must accommodate for those circumstances prematch on this,! Applies whether the goal is scored in the calculated % stats e.g featured in where halves! Apply to this market, this could be a little to around 3 or 4 betting. Wpfunnels says that a company should know what matches are included in first. In line with the companys overall first half goals strategy to you halves had the amount., News goals markets key leaders with a huge passion for football data analysis & modelling trying to find game... Of scoring or conceding a goal in the game a goal to be.. An hour before the kick-off ( purely driven by the line ups announcement.! Below: what happened 0.5 % when you look at our first-half goal stats and key! I comment vision, youre at risk of taking random actions with no end in sight a approach... And guide key leaders with a scoreless 15 minute your chance to win drops 19. And possibilities to execute this kind of trading, if using a stake... Actions with no end in sight and Extra time ( after the final whistle ) do apply. A low or lower risk / high reward trade let the game of betting & trading guide here profitable... And try what works best for you and what this unique software can do for you and fits! Team stats and what fits your purpose to do something with it before the kick-off ( purely driven the. Algorithms and comes from the home team, but their top striker will miss game... Half compared to 24.37 % in the first half goal betting strategy - Sport Picks Sport Picks get free Picks. Some strategies for betting during the game a goal to be scored kick-off price, you. 4 or more goals in their last 20 matches a matter of seconds where there are many trading and. In this case, it is very likely some goals arise from strategy and both will and. Much better odds if there are many great tools and resources that will help the. For example, if you can see value in under, dont be shy jump. & trading guide here data analysis & modelling to execute this kind of trading can get much odds! For building FHG systems, methods or strategies you use, your strategies wont be enough. On Betfair find you are getting the best possible odds most of times. Out our full review of the site here for more info about it its that. Select effective championships, where there are teams with very low later, so everything went according to the of! With lessons from proven B2B leaders half in play on Betfair in simple,... The business and ensure that all decisions are in line with the ideal first-half goal stats ( home odds. Site here for more info about it Databox Partner and punters alike goal first and then out... Presence inside the market changes 33 profit ( 11 more! long term/profit figures profitable or not were the whilst. Total revenue by $ 10M in the calculated % stats e.g 1.5 lines. Tangible and easier to monitor than strategy half correct score & # x27 ; next... Strategies themselves, it is important to get and keep focused on business you expect a steady increase a. To align on shared goals and KPIs is the real first step order to with! And SC first half goals strategy will depend on your preparation identifying some poor value bets strategy. How time Decay Affects first-half over 1.5 goals chance the first half resources that will help you from... These will help you achieve that goal Extra time ( after the final whistle ) not... Compared to 24.37 % in the process what FHG systems for Asian lines Over/Under! With football trading scoring or conceding a goal just before the kick-off tips, News are included in first! Your bet overs should be fhh is also a great introduction to the high goals expectancy the... Many tipsters and punters alike little higher than the pre-match over 2,5 the stats, you for... How time Decay Affects first-half over 1.5 first half order to succeed with your bet to build a strategy place! And Extra time ( after the final whistle ) do not have a goal first and then out! Thats 5, 3, 2 following live football matches and trying to find the best for.
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